Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.001095 1.236879e-03 0.001380 0.001536 0.001699 0.001865 0.002046
2025-03-09 0.000771 9.851334e-04 0.001213 0.001471 0.001752 0.002047 0.002378
2025-03-16 0.000529 7.917776e-04 0.001090 0.001443 0.001843 0.002274 0.002769
2025-03-23 0.000358 6.532979e-04 0.001013 0.001459 0.001981 0.002559 0.003235
2025-03-30 0.000216 5.212782e-04 0.000927 0.001457 0.002097 0.002822 0.003685
2025-04-06 0.000111 4.043568e-04 0.000842 0.001447 0.002201 0.003072 0.004126
2025-04-13 0.000042 3.066361e-04 0.000766 0.001437 0.002301 0.003320 0.004567
2025-04-20 0.000005 2.208408e-04 0.000689 0.001417 0.002384 0.003545 0.004983
2025-04-27 NaN 1.521075e-04 0.000619 0.001399 0.002465 0.003766 0.005395
2025-05-04 NaN 1.174876e-04 0.000599 0.001446 0.002630 0.004089 0.005928
2025-05-11 NaN 8.813094e-05 0.000580 0.001491 0.002789 0.004405 0.006454
2025-05-18 NaN 3.707213e-05 0.000481 0.001403 0.002766 0.004492 0.006705
2025-05-25 NaN 9.419437e-06 0.000406 0.001348 0.002789 0.004643 0.007043
2025-06-01 NaN 2.566679e-07 0.000358 0.001331 0.002863 0.004861 0.007464
2025-06-08 NaN NaN 0.000325 0.001337 0.002970 0.005122 0.007940
2025-06-15 NaN NaN 0.000312 0.001378 0.003128 0.005448 0.008499
2025-06-22 NaN NaN 0.000289 0.001395 0.003249 0.005728 0.009003
2025-06-29 NaN NaN 0.000261 0.001399 0.003351 0.005983 0.009475
2025-07-06 NaN NaN 0.000234 0.001401 0.003448 0.006230 0.009938
2025-07-13 NaN NaN 0.000204 0.001389 0.003522 0.006446 0.010361
2025-07-20 NaN NaN 0.000176 0.001377 0.003593 0.006658 0.010779
2025-07-27 NaN NaN 0.000175 0.001429 0.003764 0.007003 0.011362
2025-08-03 NaN NaN 0.000172 0.001477 0.003929 0.007338 0.011934